Research · Internal checks

Internal checks

These are internal checks PhaseFolio ran in May 2026 on a small set of oncology programs. They are not a validation of the model and were not peer reviewed. The model uses published values, and every value can be changed in the asset modeler.

Checks 2
Run May 2026

01Two signals, one small set of programs

What we saw, and what the model does with each signal today.

We looked at whether two drug-specific signals lined up with the known outcomes of a small set of oncology programs. The table says what we saw and what the model does with each signal today.

Internal checks, May 2026
SignalContextWhat we sawWhat the model doesRecord
Biomarker qualityNSCLC · Phase II/IIILined up with outcomesUses the published Schwaederle 2016 values (1.35× genomic, 0.85× protein-only) for oncology solid tumor at Phase II/III, after review.JSON
Phase 1 objective response rate (ORR magnitude)Oncology solid tumor · Phase II/IIIAdded littleShown as a flag beside the valuation. Does not change PoS.JSON

Machine-readable: /research/evaluations/verdicts.json

02Write-up

Drug-specific signals in oncology: an internal check (May 2026)

An internal check of two drug-specific signals on 85 oncology programs with known outcomes. Biomarker quality lined up with outcomes; Phase 1 response rate added little. It is a dated record, not a validation of the model or peer-reviewed research. The model uses the published biomarker values, and every value can be changed.

Read the write-up · How the reference figures are used

What these checks are not

A dated record, not a validation of the model. A public evaluation will be published only when it is designed and signed by qualified statistics and bioinformatics staff. See the model card.