Research
Where the numbers come from
The Workspace model runs on reference data from published sources and labelled PhaseFolio assumptions. It prefills the asset modeler, every value can be changed, and we update it when the sources change.
Limits of use
Probability of success here is a reference, not a prediction for any asset. The model has not been backtested, and nothing here is investment, legal, tax or medical advice. The calculator in Workspace uses whatever values you keep.
BPublished sources, your assumptions
The PoS baselines come from BIO/QLS/Informa 2021 and a short list of published multipliers, each named in the methodology beside the figure it supports. Where no published figure fits, the value is a PhaseFolio assumption and is labelled as one.